Decision on Negotiations with Russia to be Made Closer to Winter – Forecast

Ukraine is bracing for another round of diplomatic efforts by the West to bring both sides to the negotiating table. According to political science expert Maxim Rozumny, initial results from negotiations with Russia are expected to emerge by winter.

Forecast for Negotiation Process

Rozumny predicts that significant steps towards resolving the conflict will occur in the winter, following a new round of diplomatic efforts. In his interview with Glavred, he mentioned that the negotiation process is likely to run parallel to ongoing military actions. “Results will become apparent when Russia exhausts its battlefield capabilities, and Ukraine secures sufficient military, weaponry, and resources. The situation will also depend on the stances of the US, Europe, and China, who need to finalize their views on the conflict,” he explained.

Increased Diplomatic Efforts

Rozumny believes that autumn will be a crucial period for diplomatic activity. As the summer offensive campaign by Russia concludes, diplomatic efforts are expected to intensify. “By the end of autumn, we will see the results of the current diplomatic efforts, and by late autumn or early winter, all parties will be prepared to make final decisions,” he emphasized.

About Maxim Rozumny

Maxim Rozumny is a prominent Ukrainian political scientist and philosopher, holding a Doctorate in Political Science. Born on June 27, 1969, in Kyiv, he graduated from Kyiv State University, Faculty of Journalism. He has served as Head of the Strategic Communications Department at the National Institute for Strategic Studies and as an advisor to the Vice Prime Minister of Ukraine. Currently, he holds the position of Head of the Department of Humanitarian Policy and Security at the National Institute for International Security Studies.

Negotiations with Russia and International Perspective

Ukraine insists that negotiations with Russia can only proceed under conditions that respect international law and the country’s territorial integrity. Meanwhile, despite the deteriorating condition of its troops, Russia continues to impose ultimatums, including demands for guarantees that Ukraine will not join NATO and for reductions in its military forces. Experts from the Institute for the Study of War point out that such demands amount to Ukraine’s capitulation.

Future of the Negotiation Process

It is anticipated that by the end of 2025, Russia may exhaust its military resources and seek to expedite the negotiation process for a breather. This period will be critical for both sides, and the final decision will depend on a comprehensive analysis of the situation and the parties’ willingness to compromise.

Conclusion

Thus, the current situation and forthcoming diplomatic efforts will determine the future course of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Observers and analysts will closely monitor developments in the coming months to understand how close the parties are to reaching a final agreement.